Job Description

Job Description
Job Description
About the job
Mercor connects elite creative and technical talent with leading AI research labs. Headquartered in San Francisco, our investors include Benchmark , General Catalyst , Peter Thiel , Adam D'Angelo , Larry Summers , and Jack Dorsey .
Position: Political Expert — Elections Forecasting & Political Risk
Type: Contract
Compensation: $150–$250/hour
Location: Remote
Role Responsibilities
Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff.
Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds.
Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact.
Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard.
Work independently and asynchronously to meet deadlines while improving AI model performance .
Qualifications
Must-Have
A senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst.
A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds.
Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis.
8+ years of direct experience or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance.
Preferred
Experience with top national polling and election-forecasting organizations, major decision desks, or senior analytics teams from presidential, Senate, or governor races.
Background in political-risk desks at leading banks, funds, or firms such as Eurasia Group and EIU.
Application Process (Takes 20–30 mins to complete)
Upload resume
AI interview based on your resume
Submit form
Resources & Support
For details about the interview process and platform information, please check:
For any help or support, reach out to: support@mercor.com
PS: Our team reviews applications daily. Please complete your AI interview and application steps to be considered for this opportunity.

Job Tags

Odd job, Contract work, Summer work, Remote work

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Political Analyst - Elections Forecasting Job at Mercor, New York, NY